The rise of UKIP

I have'nt really blogged much about the UK Independence Party. But as the European and General Elections draw closer, UKIP could have quite a pivotal role. 

UKIP's main policy to try and get the UK out of Europe and up on until recently they have not had much input in the UK's General Election. 

However now opinion polls have been suggesting that they would poll at 

least 10% in an General Election. 

This more worrying for the Tories as it is mainly Tory voters who have defected to UKIP. So for the Tories to win a majority in the next general election they need to get the 10% back from UKIP. 

Labour do not need to worry so much about the UKIP vote. However the Labour Party would hope that UKIP do not get a lot votes. As UKIP would make it very difficult for Labour to govern effectively. 

Recently UKIP leader Nigel Farage has disowned the party 2010 manifesto. Saying that UKIP will write a new manifesto after the European elections.

Now UKIP realise they can return some of their candidates to the House of Commons.

 They are now trying to be a little more tactful and are trying to hold on to their 10% of the voting public and they hope that this will be sustained until the next General Election.

The Syrian crisis

The current political firestorm in both the UK and the US is about the ongoing crises in Syria. 

According numerous reports President Assad has used chemical weapons on his people. Now some people demanding that Europe and the US should now use it's military firepower to oust President Assad.

In the UK Prime Minister David Cameron is seriously under fire. He was forced to recall parliament so MP's could vote on whether military action against Syria was appropriate. 

The result of the vote was an unmitigated disaster for David Cameron and he lost this important vote by about 13 votes. 

David Cameron is in a situation that no UK Prime Minister has been in for over 300 years. He could not even convince his backbenchers that military action was needed.

It has not been a good summer recess for David Cameron with photos of him on holiday in Portugal and then another holiday in the UK he comes across as out of touch with how the average British person is feeling.

The next few weeks will be pivotal for David Cameron either he reasserts his authority or he will become a lame duck Prime Minister.

President Obama has a different challenge to David Cameron as he liked and respected within the Democratic Party. 

However the American people are tired of war and the Iraq and Afghanistan

conflict has cost billions of dollars and thousands of lives. 

So President Obama needs to put forward an airtight case that will ensure that he gets the American people behind him. So that the American people do not start to view him as George W Bush mark two.

My own view is that the case for military intervention has not been made. I also believe that the UN  should be taking the lead and that would ensure that if military intervention was needed it would have global support.